2025年7月10日星期四

[News] Elbridge Colby暫停对烏援助和歷史教訓 - Elbridge Colby About Ukraine Vs History Lesson

川普總統逆轉咗國防部副部長Elbridge Colby下令暫時停止向烏克蘭運送武器 ,佢暫停援助嘅藉口係一個機密審查,顯示美國武器庫存低到危險。Brandon J. Weichert 嘅文章《Elbridge Colby對烏克蘭嘅問題係啱嘅》聲稱,儘管特朗普過去呼籲「停止殺人」同推動和平談判,但佢仍然恢復武器運送,同早前嘅外交意圖相矛盾。文章指出,特朗普嘅行動可能會延長戰爭,同埋損害美國自己嘅準備狀態。

不過,歷史提供咗一個令人清醒嘅教訓:安撫好少會令侵略者滿意 —— 佢通常會令佢哋更加大膽。納粹德國(1930年代):英國同法國允許希特拉將萊茵地區重新軍事化,吞併奧地利( Anschluss ),同埋奪取捷克斯洛伐克嘅蘇台德地區 —— 所有呢啲都係為咗避免戰爭。相反,呢啲讓步助長咗佢嘅野心,最終導致入侵波蘭同第二次世界大戰爆發。 日本帝國(1930年代):當日本入侵滿洲嗰陣,國際聯盟未能採取果斷行動,呢種缺乏抵抗力鼓勵咗進一步向中國同東南亞擴張,最終喺珍珠港事件之後將美國拖入戰爭。俄羅斯同克里米亞(2014):克里米亞嘅吞併遇到咗有限嘅國際阻力。邱吉爾有句名言:「安撫者係餵crocodile一隻,希望佢可以最後食佢。」

President Donald Trump reversed a temporary halt in arms shipments to Ukraine that was ordered by Undersecretary of Defense Elbridge Colby. His excuse for pausing aid was a classified review showing U.S. weapon stockpiles were dangerously low.

The article “Elbridge Colby Is Right About Ukraine” by Brandon J. Weichert claims Despite Trump's past calls to “stop the killing” and push for peace talks, he resumed arms shipments, contradicting earlier diplomatic intentions.The article suggests Trump's actions may prolong the war and undermine America's own readiness.

However, History offers a sobering lesson: appeasement rarely satisfies an aggressor—it often emboldens them. 

Key Historical Examples
Nazi Germany (1930s): Britain and France allowed Hitler to remilitarize the Rhineland, annex Austria (Anschluss), and seize the Sudetenland in Czechoslovakia—all in hopes of avoiding war. Instead, these concessions fueled his ambition, culminating in the invasion of Poland and the outbreak of World War II2.

Imperial Japan (1930s): The League of Nations failed to act decisively when Japan invaded Manchuria. This lack of resistance encouraged further expansion into China and Southeast Asia, eventually dragging the U.S. into war after Pearl Harbor.

Russia and Crimea (2014): The annexation of Crimea met with limited international pushback. Some analysts argue this emboldened further aggression, including the full-scale invasion of Ukraine in 2022.

Consequences of Appeasement
Empowers aggressors: Concessions are often seen as weakness, encouraging further demands.

Undermines international law: Treaties and norms lose credibility when violations go unpunished.

Erodes trust: Allies may lose faith in collective security arrangements, leading to fractured coalitions.

Delays necessary action: Waiting too long can make eventual conflict more costly and complex.

Strategic Takeaway
Appeasement might buy time—but it rarely buys peace. As Churchill famously said, “An appeaser is one who feeds a crocodile, hoping it will eat him last.”

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