2025年7月12日星期六

[US News] Judge's Ruling on Immigration Arrests 法官關於移民逮捕的裁決

Judge's Ruling on Immigration Arrests
A federal judge, Maame Ewusi-Mensah Frimpong, ruled against immigration arrests made without probable cause in Southern California.

The Department of Homeland Security (DHS) was found to have conducted unconstitutional raids in Los Angeles, targeting individuals based on race, spoken language, occupation, or location (e.g., bus stops).

DHS must now create guidance on determining reasonable suspicion that doesn't rely on these factors.

Legal Context
The ruling stems from a case brought by the ACLU of Southern California and advocacy groups.

It applies specifically to the Central District of California, which includes Los Angeles and surrounding counties.

Plaintiffs’ Allegations
The lawsuit alleges that DHS conducted roving patrols without legal justification and denied detainees access to legal counsel.

法官就移民逮捕作出裁決
聯邦法官 Maame Ewusi-Mensah Frimpong 裁定,南加州無正當理由逮捕移民的行為不成立。

美國國土安全部 (DHS) 被裁定在洛杉磯進行了違憲突襲,針對個人的行動基於種族、語言、職業或地點(例如公車站)。

國土安全部現在必須制定指南,以判斷合理懷疑是否成立,並且不依賴這些因素。

法律背景
該裁決源於南加州美國公民自由聯盟 (ACLU) 及其倡導團體提起的訴訟。

該裁決特別適用於加州中區,包括洛杉磯及其周邊各縣。

原告的指控
訴訟指控國土安全部在沒有法律依據的情況下進行巡邏,並拒絕被拘留者獲得法律顧問的協助。

Federal judge blocks sweeping ICE raids in Los Angeles County, SoCal | FOX 11 LA




Reference: 
https://apnews.com/article/california-immigration-stops-arrests-b4d59afc4aa6be4944e67f773aa34096

[Market] Uncertainty caused by escalating tariffs

Below is a summary of a newsletter titled as "Morning Brief: Tariffs don't matter as much as how big they are," received on 07/12/2025 from Yahoo Finance: 

Stocks dipped slightly after President Trump threatened new 35% tariffs on Canadian goods, part of a broader trend of rising trade tensions. The main focus is how these growing tariffs—now estimated at 18%—could impact the economy. Experts say the real problem isn’t just the number of tariffs, but how high they go and how uncertain the final outcomes are. Ongoing deals with countries like China and Vietnam may soften the impact, but if tariffs continue rising, they could lead to stagflation (slower growth with higher prices) and limit how the Federal Reserve responds. For now, markets are holding up because businesses expect some flexibility or negotiation ahead.

以下是雅虎財經 2025 年 7 月 12 日發來的題為《晨間簡報:關稅的重要性不在於其規模》的簡報摘要:

在川普總統威脅對加拿大商品徵收35%的新關稅後,股市小幅下跌,這是貿易緊張局勢加劇的普遍趨勢之一。人們主要關注的是這些不斷上漲的關稅(目前估計為18%)將如何影響經濟。專家表示,真正的問題不僅在於關稅的數量,還在於關稅的幅度以及最終結果的不確定性。與中國和越南等國正在進行的貿易協定或許可以減輕影響,但如果關稅繼續上漲,可能會導致滯脹(經濟成長放緩,物價上漲),並限制聯準會的應對措施。目前,市場表現堅挺,因為企業預期未來會出現一些彈性或談判。

Stock market reacts to Trump's newest tariff threats against Canada



2025年7月11日星期五

[History] 獨裁者的心態 The mentality of a dictator

獨裁者的心態,尤其是有入侵或佔領歷史的獨裁者,通常反映出一種特定的威權野心、戰略計算和意識形態辯護的混合。以下是這些領導者常見的心理和政治模式:核心心理特徵權力鞏固:深切渴望擴大控制至國外,通常與個人光榮或政權保護有關。零和思維:將國際關係視為戰場,一個國家的獲利必然是另一個國家的損失。歷史修正主義:重新詮釋國家歷史以為擴張辯護—有時引用失落的帝國、民族聯繫或領土“命運”。偏執與控制:感知到內部和外部隨處可見的威脅,並以安全名義為預防性侵略辯護。政治和戰略動機轉移國內問題的注意:軍事侵略可以用來提高民族主義熱情並轉移對經濟不穩定或政治異議的注意。資源獲取:佔領可能是出於對戰略領土、自然資源或軍事優勢的需求。威懾訊息:展示武力以期阻止鄰國的抵抗或內部反對。歷史回聲一些獨裁者將入侵描繪為文明任務的一部分、防衛的必要性,或與"失去的兄弟"的重聚。這些合理化大量依賴民族主義神話或民族中心主義意識形態。

有一些著名的獨裁者例子,他們的政權以侵略或佔領其他國家為特徵,這些行為往往透過意識形態、偏執或戰略野心來辯解。你可以通過 Google 搜索或 Copilot 等找到這些例子。

The mentality of a dictator with a history of invasion or occupation often reflects a particular blend of authoritarian ambition, strategic calculation, and ideological justification. Here are a few psychological and political patterns commonly observed in such leaders:

Core Mental Traits
Power Consolidation: A deep desire to expand control beyond domestic borders, often linked to personal glorification or regime preservation.

Zero-Sum Thinking: Viewing international relations as a battlefield where one state's gain must be another's loss.

Historical Revisionism: Reinterpreting national history to justify expansion—sometimes invoking lost empires, ethnic ties, or territorial “destiny.”

Paranoia and Control: Perceiving threats everywhere, internally and externally, which justifies preemptive aggression in the name of security.

Political & Strategic Motives
Diversion from Domestic Issues: Military aggression can be used to rally nationalistic fervor and distract from economic instability or political dissent.

Resource Acquisition: Occupation may be motivated by access to strategic territories, natural resources, or military advantages.

Message of Deterrence: A display of force aimed at discouraging resistance from neighboring countries or internal opposition.

Historical Echoes
Some dictators frame invasions as part of a civilizing mission, a defensive necessity, or a reunion with "lost brethren." These rationalizations draw heavily from nationalist mythology or ethnocentric ideologies.

There are some notable examples of dictators whose regimes were marked by invasion or occupation of other countries, often justified through ideology, paranoia, or strategic ambition. You may find them via Google search or Copilot etc.

Dictators Unmasked: Decoding the Dark Psychology Behind Absolute Power